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容量评估预测维持性血液透析患者预后的价值

  

  • 出版日期:2020-12-28 发布日期:2020-12-28

Prognostic analysis of volume assessment in maintenance hemodialysis patients

  • Online:2020-12-28 Published:2020-12-28

摘要: 目的:维持性血液透析(MHD)患者的死亡率仍远远高于同龄的健康人群,心脑血管疾病是导致MHD患者死亡的首要原因。既往的研究发现慢性水负荷增加与患者高血压,左心室肥厚及心力衰竭的发生相关。本研究利用人体成分监测仪(BCM)检测MHD患者体内容量状态,分析其结果与患者死亡及心脑血管事件住院的相关关系。方法:纳入在2014年3月前已于本透析中心行MHD≥3月,每周透析3次,有完整人口学资料,并完成基线生化检测指标及BCM测定的76例18~75岁患者,前瞻性随访至2019年3月,以患者发生死亡及期间因心脑血管事件第一次住院为研究终点。用COX回归分析BCM容量评估对患者预后的预测作用,ROC曲线及KaplanMeier法分析其对预后的预测能力。结果:5年随访期间,76例患者中有25例患者发生了终点事件。以是否发生终点事件分为两组,与未发生终点事件组相比,发生终点事件组患者年龄更大(P<0001),合并糖尿病(P=001)及心血管疾病(P=0001)患者比例更高,白细胞介素6(IL6)水平更高(P=0013),身高矫正的细胞外液量(ECW/H)更多(P=0002),细胞外液与总体液量(TBW)比值更高(P=0002)。多因素COX回归分析提示ECW/H与患者发生终点事件有独立相关关系(HR=2179,95%CI 1299~3657)。ECW/H对患者不良预后具有预测价值(AUC 0731,P=0001)。结论:BCM容量评估提示细胞外液量扩张与患者的死亡和心血管不良事件发生有独立相关关系,因此根据BCM评价结果调整并维持患者理想容量状态可有利于改善患者预后。

关键词: 维持性血液透析, 人体成分监测, 细胞外液量, 预后

Abstract: Objective:The mortality rate of  with  maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients is still much higher than that of the healthy population of the same age.Cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases are the leading cause of death in MHD patients.Previous studies have found that increased chronic fluid overload was associated with hypertension,left ventricular hypertrophy,and heart failure.In this study,the body composition monitor (BCM) was used to detect the hydration status in MHD patients and analyze the correlation between the results and the death of MHD patients and hospitalization due to cardiocerebrovascular events.Methodology:76 patients aged 18~75 years were included in this study,who were treated with MHD for more than 3 months and 3 times every week at March 2014.BCM was used to assess the hydration status of patients.They were followed to March 2019.The death and the first hospitalization for cardiocerebrovascular events during the study period were the study end point.Cox proportional hazard regressions were used to determine the correlation between hydration index and the end points,events and ROC curve was used to analyze its predictive ability for prognosis.Results:Endpoints events occurred in 25 of 76 patients during a 5year followup period.The patients were divided into 2 groups according to end point events.Compared with the group with out end point events,the elderly age (P<0001),a higher proportion of  diabetes mellitus (P=001) and cardiovascular disease (P=0001),higher levels of IL6 (P=0013),and the more extracellular fluid by height correction(ECW/H) (P=0002),the higher ECW and total body water(TBW) ratio (P=0002) were found in the end points group.Multivariate COX regression analyzed revealed that the ECW/H were independently correlated with endpoint events (HR:2179,95%CI:1299~3657).ECW/H had predictive value for poor prognosis of patients(AUC 0731,P=0001).Conclusion:Extracellular fluid volume expansion suggested by BCM is independently associated with death and cardiovascular adverse events of MHD patients.Therefore,maintaining patients′ ideal hydration status according to BCM assessment is beneficial to improve the prognosis.