ISSN 1006-298X      CN 32-1425/R

导航

肾脏病与透析肾移植杂志 ›› 2026, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (5): 486-490.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-298X.2026.05.017

• 血液净化 • 上一篇    下一篇

腹膜透析相关性腹膜炎预测模型的研究进展

  

  • 出版日期:2026-10-27 发布日期:2026-10-27

Advances in clinical prediction models for peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis

  • Online:2026-10-27 Published:2026-10-27

摘要:

腹膜透析相关性腹膜炎(peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis,PDAP)是腹膜透析患者住院、技术失败及死亡的重要原因。构建有效的临床预测模型是对PDAP早期预警和个体化干预的重要手段。随着临床研究由单一危险因素分析逐步转向多因素整合预测,PDAP风险评估正从传统回归模型拓展至机器学习模型。本文对PDAP临床预测模型的建模方法、核心预测因子及不同终点事件下的模型特点进行叙述性综述,以期为临床决策和未来研究方向提供参考。

关键词:

腹膜透析相关性腹膜炎,临床预测模型,机器学习,列线图,危险因素,风险评估

Abstract:

Peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis (PDAP) is a major cause of hospitalization, technique failure, and mortality in patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis. The development of effective clinical prediction models is essential for early warning and individualized intervention in PDAP. As research has shifted from analyses of individual risk factors toward multifactorial integrated prediction, PDAP risk assessment has expanded from conventional regression-based models to machine learning (ML) approaches. This narrative review summarizes the major modeling methods, key predictors, and characteristics of prediction models across different PDAP-related clinical endpoints, aiming to inform clinical decision-making and future research.

Key words: peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis, clinical prediction model, machine learning, nomogram, risk factors, risk assessment

中图分类号: