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肾脏病与透析肾移植杂志 ›› 2015, Vol. 24 ›› Issue (5): 407-411.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

CKD-EPI方程计算肾小球滤过率的误差分析与评估

  

  • 出版日期:2015-10-28 发布日期:2015-10-30

Error Analysis and Estimation in the Calculation of GFR by CKD-EPI Equation

  • Online:2015-10-28 Published:2015-10-30

摘要:

摘 要 目的:比较三种CKD-EPI方程的计算方法(CKD-EPIscr、CKD-EPIcysc与CKD-EPIscr/cysc),估计其各自临床应用时的计算误差。 方法:收集78例CKD患者同一时间段的血清肌酐值、血清胱抑素C值和99mTc-DTPA 肾动态显像资料,计算三种 CKD-EPI方程的估算值eGFR与99mTc-DTPA 肾动态显像检测的肾小球滤过率参考值rGFR间的误差Δscr,Δcysc与Δscr/cysc,作P-P图、Pearson相关分析与Bland-Altman散点图进行数据预处理,采用t检验与 检验分别计算误差的总体期望、方差的置信区间,由3 原理得到误差范围。 结果:正态性分析结果显示:误差服从正态分布;相关性与一致性分析显示:三种eGFR与rGFR显著相关(r=0.832、0.838、0.917),Δscr,Δcysc与Δscr/cysc分别有93.59%、96.15%、94.87%散点位于其各自的95%一致性界限内;t检验与 检验分析表明: , 与 期望的95%的置信区间分别为(-5.62, 1.22)、(3,18, 10.50)、(-6.42, -1.59),方差的95%的置信区间分别为(171.66, 324.18)、(196.90, 371.85)、(85.55, 161.57),由3 原理得到Δscr∈(-59.63, 55.23),Δcysc∈(-54.67, 68.36),Δscr/cysc∈(-44.55, 36.54)。 结论: CKD-EPIscr/cysc方程较CKD-EPIscr方程、CKD-EPIcysc方程计算误差范围小,更适于临床GFR的估计。

关键词: 肾小球滤过率, CKD-EPI方程, 误差估计

Abstract:

Abstract Objective: To compare the three equations of CKD-EPIscr, CKD-EPIcysc and CKD-EPIscr/cysc and evaluate the error of each equation in the clinical practice. Methodology: Seventy eight patients with CKD were enrolled into this study. The data of serum Cystatin C, creatinine and rGFR coming from 99mTc-DTPA renal dynamic imaging were collected. Three eGFR (eGFRscr, eGFRcysc and eGFRscr/cysc) were calculated by the equation of CKD-EPIscr、CKD-EPIcysc and CKD-EPIscr/cysc respectively. Errors (Δscr, Δcysc and Δscr/cysc) were compared with rGFR. Proportion-proportion plot, Pearson correlation analysis, Bland-Altman scatter diagram, Student’s t test and Chi-square test were performed for statistical analysis. Results: The data of Δscr, Δcysc and Δscr/cysc were shown by Gaussian distribution. Pearson correlation analysis and Bland-Altman scatter diagram suggested that the three eGFRs were correlated with rGFR significantly with the correlation coefficients of 0.832, 0.838 and 0.917 respectively. The percentage of points of Δscr, Δcysc and Δscr/cysc located in each 95% conformity boundary was 93.59%, 96.15% and 94.87% respectively. Student’s t test and chi-square test suggested that three 95% confidence intervals of the errors’ expectations were (-5.62, 1.22), (3,18, 10.50)and (-6.42, -1.59), and three 95% confidence intervals of the errors’ variances were (171.66, 324.18), (196.90, 371.85) and (85.55, 161.57). Further analysis by the 3 principle showed that Δscr∈(-59.63, 55.23), Δcysc∈(-54.67, 68.36) and Δscr/cysc∈(-44.55, 36.54) when each expectation and variance were critical values. Conclusion: Error range of CKD-EPIscr/cysc equation is minimum among the three CKD-EPI equations. CKD-EPIscr/cysc equation tends to be better than the CKD-EPIcysc equation and the CKD-EPIscr equation in calculating GFR in the clinical practice.